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German authorities predict that the German economy will stagnate in 2025. On the 12th, local time, Kiel Institute for World Economics, one of the authoritative German economic research institutes, released a winter forecast, predicting that the German GDP will stagnate in 2025, neither increasing nor decreasing, which is 0.5% lower than the previous autumn forecast. Germany's GDP will shrink by 0.2% in 2024, compared with the previous autumn forecast of 0.1%. The agency believes that Germany's potential signs of weak economic growth are emerging, not only facing the foreseeable impact of the US tariff increase, but also the domestic industrial crisis is intensifying. (CCTV Finance)The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.6%; Led by industrial and commercial stocks, the Hang Seng Index fell 1.6% to 20,072.69 in Hong Kong. In midday trading, industrial and commercial stocks led the market down, and all kinds of stocks fell; Of the 83 stocks, 75 fell and 7 rose. Meituan dragged down the index the most, falling by 2.8%. Budweiser Asia Pacific suffered the biggest decline, down 6.1%.American soldiers stationed in Japan were sentenced to five years' imprisonment for abducting and sexually assaulting a woman under the age of 16. On December 13th, it was learned that the Naha District Court sentenced the soldier to five years' imprisonment for the abduction and sexual assault of a woman under the age of 16 by an American air force soldier in Okinawa last December. (CCTV News)

This year, the domestic game market sales revenue and game users have reached record highs. At the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Conference, Zhang Yijun, the first vice chairman of China Audio-visual and Digital Publishing Association and chairman of the Game Working Committee, released the 2024 China Game Industry Report. According to the report, in 2024, the actual sales revenue of the domestic game market was 325.783 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.53%, reaching a new high; There are 674 million domestic game users, up 0.94% year-on-year, which is also a new high point in history. In 2024, the actual sales revenue of China's self-developed games in overseas markets was 18.557 billion US dollars, up 13.39% year-on-year, and its scale has exceeded 100 billion yuan for five consecutive years, reaching a new high. (The Paper)Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index closed down 0.4% to 8,296 points.LinkedIn's server was abnormally disconnected from the network. Customer Service: The recovery time is uncertain for the time being. On December 13th, several LinkedIn owners reported that the user's APP car control was abnormal and could not connect to the network. Link Auto Customer Service said that this incident was caused by the abnormal fluctuation of the cloud server, which led to the abnormal use of some car control apps. Currently, it is being urgently processed, and the recovery time is uncertain. (On the news)

Dalian Shengya had a daily limit in the afternoon, and its share price hit a record high. Since November, its cumulative increase has exceeded 150%.Thailand's finance minister said that Thailand is expected to levy the lowest corporate tax in the world from January 2025.Outlook of Consumer Industry of Minyin Securities in 2025: The expansion of domestic demand grasps the opportunity of differentiation and change. Minyin Securities released a report on the outlook of consumer industry in 2025, saying that consumer demand is generally weak in 2024, and price factors also restrict growth. Looking forward to China's consumer industry in 2025: (1) Consumption plays a leading role and expanding domestic demand is in a more priority position. The variety and scale of trade-in of consumer goods are expected to continue to expand, and local governments will also introduce new policies to promote consumption in light of local conditions. (2) Rational consumption is more differentiated, and consumers pay for quality-price ratio and spiritual experience. The performance of Tou International Consumer Goods Company in China is also characterized by differentiation. Most of them recognize the long-term value of the China market. Despite short-term challenges, they plan to focus on strengthening localization and continue to invest in the China market. (3) When Trump comes to power, consumption will face greater challenges, and it will require higher global supply chain integration ability, diversified layout and localization ability. It is suggested to grasp the main line of domestic demand expansion, including dairy products with expected improvement at the bottom, outdoor sectors with high prosperity and tidal play sectors. If the demand recovers as scheduled, the catering/sports shoes and clothing/chain retail industry in a period of change will be flexible. In terms of export chain, it is necessary to observe whether the risk of trade friction is fully priced. In the medium term, the overseas market is vast, and the key to success is the added value and bargaining power of products, the matching degree between overseas demand and overseas supply chain, and the global diversified layout.